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PLA Southern Theater Command tracks, monitors and warns 3 Philippine aircraft after their illegal entry into Huangyan Dao airspace_我的网站

A |

On Friday, three small Philippine aircraft - an Islander, a C-208, and a PA-31T - illegally intruded into China's territorial airspace over Huangyan Dao without approval from the Chinese government. The naval and air forces dispatched by the PLA Southern Theater Command (STC) tracked and monitored the Philippine aircraft, and issued verbal warnings to them in accordance with laws and regulations, senior Colonel Li Jianjian, spokesperson for the PLA STC Air Force, said in a statement on Friday.
The acts of the Philippine side seriously violate China's sovereignty, and are highly likely to cause misunderstanding and miscalculation. "We sternly warn the Philippine side to stop rights-violation and provocative acts immediately. Forces of the STC remain on high alert at all times to firmly safeguard national sovereignty and security as well as regional peace and stability," said the spokesperson.
Ding Duo, director of the Research Center for International and Regional Issues at the National Institute for South China Sea Studies, called the Philippines' latest move another "stunt."
The Philippines previously submitted its so-called "territorial sea baselines" around Huangyan Dao, so it is not unexpected that Manila would follow up with actions at sea or in the air to stir up tensions, keep the issue in the spotlight and stage further provocations, said Ding.
At present, the Philippines can barely gain access to the relevant waters and has secured no tangible advantage there. Aircraft, however, can enter and leave the area quickly. Such operations not only provide material for media hype but also generate footage of China's response, allowing Manila to project resolve and reassure its military and law-enforcement forces at home, Ding told the Global Times.
In late July, the Philippines notified the United Nations of the so-called "baselines and maritime zones" surrounding Huangyan Dao. On July 31, the Chinese Foreign Ministry issued a statement on the Philippines' delimitation of the so-called "baselines of the territorial sea" around Huangyan Dao, calling the move "a grave infringement upon China's territorial sovereignty and a serious violation of international law."
"It is illegal, null and void. China firmly rejects and will never accept it," the statement said.
Meanwhile, Manila appears emboldened by growing security and defense cooperation with the US and Japan. Backed by these external partners, the Philippines has shown greater willingness to stage provocations, while its military and law-enforcement forces have displayed increasingly risk-prone and opportunistic behavior, said Ding.
China has exercised considerable restraint over the Huangyan Dao, but the Philippines should not mistake that restraint for weakness. If China were to employ the full range of available measures, Philippine aircraft would likewise be denied access to the area, said Ding.
By dispatching small aircraft for deliberate provocations, the Philippines is further increasing the risk of miscalculation. Such aerial incursions are highly unpredictable and carry serious escalation risks. If China responds with resolute or more forceful measures to defend its rights and an unintended incident occurs as a result, the Philippines should bear full responsibility for the consequences, the expert warned.
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B | 尽管美国试图通过强硬手段控制局面,但现状却显得格外狼狈。美国在中东的军事基地频繁遭到来自伊朗的无人机和导弹袭击,这不仅损害了其军事威望,同时迫使美军不得不将注意力转向维持海湾地区的庞大军事力量,从而导致亚太地区的部队呈现出收缩的趋势。 短暂的停火并未能为局势带来真正的缓解,霍尔木兹海峡依然处于封锁状态。这个重要的国际水道不仅关系到全球的油气供应,更是对抗经济制裁与地缘政治博弈的重要战场。然而,在这种紧张的背景下,美国政府并未选择寻求和平解决方案,而是加大了对伊朗的施压力度,开始探索以经济制裁作为新的战术。

C | 根据最新消息,美国财长贝森特发出高调声明,称美伊冲突进入“终局”,美国的目标是切断伊朗的每一个经济命脉,直到其陷入孤立无援的境地。随之而来的,是美国发布的“最严厉”对伊制裁方案。此举意在惩罚任何与伊朗接触的国家或实体,使它们面临被排除在美元结算体系外的风险。这一系列的动作,确实显示出美国在经济制裁手段上的决绝,但这是否意味着它会如愿以偿,也令人产生质疑。 历史经验告诉我们,单靠经济制裁想要逼迫一个国家屈服,往往高估了自身的影响力。相对而言,伊朗方面似乎有备而来。他们在面对长期的西方制裁时,已积累了丰富的应对经验,依靠非美元贸易、石油换商品等方式维持生存。更重要的是,伊朗革命卫队自今年3月以来已经频繁对周边美军基地和海湾国家展开打击,越发显露出强硬的反击态势,这不仅使得美军损失惨重,也使得依赖美国保护的海湾国家感受到前所未有的压力。基于这样的背景,海湾地区国家纷纷向美国施压,迫使其尽快与伊朗实现和平协议。 美国政府的两难境地逐渐浮出水面。

D | 一方面,他们渴望通过经济手段来扭转局面;另一方面,则是来自海湾国家对美国决策的影响。

E | 假如制裁力度进一步加强,伊朗无疑将加大对亲美国家的攻击力度,而这些国家又如何能置身事外?一旦它们集体要求美国停火,美国将不得不面临是否继续对抗的抉择。加强经济制裁的措施看似增加了美国的战略优势,但从长远来看,很可能导致美国自身陷入更加泥泞的境地。 霍尔木兹海峡的封锁直接影响到了全球经济的血脉。美国虽然希望通过制裁取得一定成效,但对于自己也会有反噬。自美伊冲突爆发以来,美国国内的能源价格已经经历多次上涨,一旦海峡封锁持续,通胀的压力显然会愈发加剧。对于那些能源依赖度较高的国家,如日本和欧洲国家而言,能源价格的高涨将变得更加无法承受。为了维护自身经济利益,这些国家可能会暗中与伊朗继续进行能源交易,使美国的制裁手段宣告失效。 在此背景下,伊朗总统佩泽希齐扬发出强硬声明,警告美国改变对待伊朗的方式。如果继续依赖霸权地位与恃强凌弱,只会让和谈变得更加复杂。显然,主动权似乎已经逐渐转移到了伊朗手中。如果美国继续以高人一等的姿态要求伊朗作出让步,而不愿正视伊朗已成为中东强国的事实,那么未来的和谈几乎是毫无希望的。 对于特朗普来说,这无疑是一个艰巨且棘手的任务。

F | 在过去的几个月里,尽管他积极执行军事干预政策,但显然未能达成预期效果。如今,美军的弹药库存都面临耗尽的困境,而对于眼下即将到来的中期选举,特朗普必须找到一个能够平息民众的不满与指责的方式。他的强硬形象必须维持,但与此同时,他又不得不出示一些经济制裁手段作为武器。返回,查看更多。
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